In the week since the election have led to thousands of article and stories on why Mitt Romney lost. The final tally of the popular vote leaves Mitt Romney about 3.35 million votes behind President Obama and with one million fewer votes than John McCain received in 2008. No amount of recounts will change the outcome, that is a given, but the election was far closer than three million votes.
Mitt Romney lost the Electoral College 332-206, I have investigated a number of different scenarios and found adding less than 350,000 votes in Florida, Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire delivers those states and the election to Mitt Romney. In 2008 John McCain received 107,259 more votes than Mitt Romney did in 2012, adding 5,000 votes to 2008’s total gives Romney Ohio.
Votes to change outcome
Florida 75,000 29 Electoral Votes
Ohio 110,000 18 Electoral Votes
Virginia 120,000 13 Electoral Votes
New Hampshire 42,000 4 Electoral Votes
TOTAL 347,000 64 Electoral Votes
While many will point to demographics and other reasons for the loss, the real cause was simply a lack of turn out in Ohio. In Florida, Virginia and New Hampshire, Romney did receive more votes than McCain did in 2008; it still wasn’t enough to win those states. Why? To be determined…